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RegulationNews

CBDC adoption is very uneven — and the pattern is finally coherent

The countries succeeding with a central bank digital currency share a small set of design choices. The ones stalling share the opposite.

APMBy Arthur Pinto MeloMay 20, 20255 min read

The pattern

Successful CBDC rollouts have three things in common: a clear domestic problem the CBDC solves, deep integration with existing payment rails, and a public narrative that does not overreach. Stalled programmes usually break one or more of those.

Where it is working

  • Retail CBDCs tied to a specific inclusion problem (unbanked payroll, government transfers)
  • Wholesale CBDCs used for interbank settlement between friendly jurisdictions

Where it is stuck

General-purpose retail CBDCs launched into markets that already have excellent digital payments. Consumers rationally see no reason to switch.

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